MIT Technology Review:
But it won’t end there. As long as someone in the world has the virus, breakouts can and will keep recurring without stringent controls to contain them. In a report yesterday (pdf), researchers at Imperial College London proposed a way of doing this: impose more extreme social distancing measures every time admissions to intensive care units (ICUs) start to spike, and relax them each time admissions fall.
Even in the least restrictive of the Imperial College scenarios, we’re shut in more than half the time.
Ho boy. Tot pakweg eind 2021 gaan we een soort knipperlichtsamenleving tegemoet, vergelijkbaar met het smogalarm, waarbij we soms al eens wat meer mogen en soms al eens wat minder.
Adele Peters voor Fast Company:
If you’re walking around the city and there’s actually nowhere where you can wash your hands or use a public toilet, you’ve actually created a scenario that you’re forcing people to actually take risks that they maybe don’t want to take.
Dat stoort me al heel lang: het gebrek aan openbaar sanitair in ons land. Op het station moet je betalen om het toilet te mogen gebruiken. Lijkt me een wenselijke investering…
Dahlia Lithwick op Slate:
Now we are in the next phase, or if you aren’t, you may soon be. This is the phase in which you begin to fill your newfound time learning that someone you know has the virus, someone else you know is extremely sick with the virus, and someone you know has just died from the virus. The great thickening of friendship and community that came in the days before the virus means that these losses are thicker too. Punch in the throat, punch in the throat, punch in the throat. The frantic schedule of online concerts and quarantinis starts to recede because the days are filled with the horror of what’s been lost and what might be lost and also with taking your temperature, which can take a good deal of time, especially when you’re terrified. And the worst part is the knowledge that it’s still going to get worse.
Thomas Pueyo in een uitgebreid Medium-artikel:
During the Hammer period, politicians want to lower R as much as possible, through measures that remain tolerable for the population. In Hubei, they went all the way to 0.32. We might not need that: maybe just to 0.5 or 0.6.
But during the Dance of the R period, they want to hover as close to 1 as possible, while staying below it over the long term term. That prevents a new outbreak, while eliminating the most drastic measures.